Lundberg in CSPdailynews.com
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CSP, Dec. 10, 2025: Pump price down 8 cents Motorists don't see gasoline prices as low enough: Lundberg
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CSP, Nov. 24, 2025: Muted Thanksgiving: Pump price up 4 cents Retail margin up 4 cents, too, ahead of the holiday: Lundberg
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CSP, Nov. 11, 2025: Wholesale gasoline prices surge 10.9 cents while retail holds steady National average retail price remains at $3.116 per gallon despite wholesale increases
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CSP, Oct. 31, 2025: Pump price drops more than a dime Retailers hit with gasoline margin shrinkage
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CSP, Oct. 20, 2025: Israel-Hamas peace agreement has immediate effect on crude oil prices Pump price drops a nickel, is a win for retailers and consumers: Lundberg
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CSP, Sep. 29, 2025: Refiners lose, retailers gain on gasoline margin Rising oil prices belie down factors for gasoline price
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CSP, Dec. 10, 2025: Pump price down 8 cents Motorists don't see gasoline prices as low enough: Lundberg
December 10, 2025 CSPDailyNews.com Article:
The U.S. average retail price of regular grade gasoline dropped 7.7 cents per gallon in the past two weeks, to $3.082.
But apparently, motorists don't see gasoline prices as low enough. Gasoline demand continues to shrink, not just seasonally but year-on-year.
This is chiefly because many non-gasoline costs have been rising.
The pump price discount to a year ago is barely helping, with the current price just 2.3 cents under what it was at this time last year.
Among consumer costs are dramatically higher winter utility bills, in much of the county led by natural gas
and home heating oil. Globally, the market for heating oil's close cousin diesel fuel is tight, hiking prices. That
and other consumer cost burdens are acting to instigate a backlash against gasoline demand.
Meanwhile there is plenty of gasoline supply, and U.S. refineries are running at an even higher use
rate. The aggregate refining capacity utilization rate is now 94.1%. It was just 86% a month ago.
Gasoline supply and refining activity have brought on crashing wholesale gasoline prices. This, despite the
fact that in this period, crude oil prices strengthened some; WTI's near-month futures price rose just
over $2 per barrel to $60.08. Lundberg's daily wholesale price surveys show that last week alone, rack
and DTW prices continued down in nearly all markets, led by dramatic price cuts in the West and Rockies.
The results were terrible gasoline margins for U.S. refiners, and delightful ones for U.S. retailers. A fat bonus, for
the moment at least, has landed in retailers' hands while wholesale price-slashing refiners are shivering in miserable territory.
Apparent retail margin on regular grade gasoline expanded by 12.1 cents, to a very hearty 44.6 cents per gallon. Not that they
do not need historically high margin, which in some markets must be far higher than that just to stay afloat. But the national
average retail margin gain is sweet balm for many stresses, with the current delta some 11 cents per gallon, wider than
the year-to-date retail margin. For perspective, the currently wide margin is 3 cents narrower than was the full year margin in 2024.
Refiners caught in current gasoline margin squeeze will have to attempt recovery, unless a big down move in oil prices comes to
their aid. As recently plummeting wholesale prices continue to work their way down to demand-hungry retailers, we may
see retail margin forfeiture, and street prices drop.
Click here for previous Lundberg Survey reports in CSP Daily News.
Trilby Lundberg is publisher of the Lundberg Survey of U.S. fuel markets. Lundberg Survey Inc. is based in Camarillo, California.
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Tel:(805)383-2400 Email:lsi@lundbergsurvey.com Fax:(805)383-2424
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